BANGLADESH (CSAR: High) - Protests and Violence Possible Nationwide during Voting for Local Elections Jan. 5

Violence between rival groups as well as political protests and rallies are possible during voting for the fifth phase of the Union Parishad or village council, elections Jan. 5. Residents will vote for around 700 seats across the country. Heightened security measures are likely in areas where voting is scheduled to occur.

Analysis: Political parties will hold campaign events, mainly in public squares of poll-bound areas, in the lead-up to voting. Clashes between supporters of rival parties are possible in the days leading up to the election date as well as on the election date itself. Retaliatory protests are also likely in the aftermath of such violence. Clashes have occurred in several areas, including Chittagong, Comilla, Cox's Bazar, and Narsingdi, during previous phases of voting. Some incidents have left multiple people killed or injured. Party supporters may hold rallies to gather support and protests denouncing opposing parties. Violence and protests are possible at voting stations, government buildings, and public squares.

Security personnel will likely try to disperse gatherings and may use force to break up especially disruptive protests and rallies. Clashes between police and protesters as well as between supporters of rival groups are possible. Protesters may march along or block roadways, causing localized transport disruptions. Violence may result in business disruptions.

오는 1월 5일 제 5대 지방 선거 진행 간 과격 시위가 진행될 가능성이 높습니다. 이에 따라 보안 유지군이 투입될 예정입니다.

분석 : 투표에 앞서 선거운동 진행이 되는 동안 지방 마다 선호하는 지지세력을 위해 시위, 집회가 이루어질 가능성이 높습니다. 지난 지방선거 때도 이러한 지지세력간의 다툼으로 선거운동기간동안 사망자가 발생한 바 있습니다. 
이러한 시위, 집회는 정당 지지자들을 모으기 위해 더욱 권장될 수 있으며, 투표소나 정부 청사, 광장 등에서 진행될 수 있습니다.
이러한 폭력 사태를 저지하기 위해 보안군이 투입되어 시위 진압을 수행할 수 있습니다. 
또한 시위, 집회 자체의 차단을 위해 도로 통제, 통행 제한 조치가 이루어질 수 있습니다.